Comparative Market Analysis

66-1311 Ahuli Circle

Kamuela (Waimea), Hawai'i 96743
🏠
Single-Family
Type
🛏
3
Bedrooms
🚿
1
Bathrooms
📐
1,708
Sq Ft
📅
1968
Year Built
🌿
0.28 ac
Lot Size
01

Subject Property Profile

Property Details
Address66-1311 Ahuli Circle, Kamuela HI 96743
SubdivisionAhuli Park
TypeSingle-Family, Ranch Style
Year Built1968
Living Area1,708 sq ft
Lot Size0.28 acres (12,197 sq ft)
Bedrooms3
Bathrooms1
TenureFee Simple
Annual Taxes~$1,051
Last SoldJuly 22, 2020 — $450,000
Prior Sale2007 — $320,000
Location Highlights
🏫Walking distance to Waimea schools & library
🌳Steps from Waimea Nature Park (Ulu La'au)
🛒Easy access to restaurants, shops & farmers market
✈️Close to Waimea-Kohala Airport
Near Parker Ranch stables & soccer fields
🏔Mountain views of Mauna Kea & Hualalai (clear days)
🏡Single-level ranch floor plan, vaulted ceilings
🌿Large front & back yards
🏘Desirable Ahuli Park neighborhood — dry side of Waimea
02

Comparable Sales

Address Sale Date Sale Price Sq Ft $/Sq Ft Bed/Bath Yr Built DOM Relation
66-1312 Ahuli Cir Jan 2024$835,0001,222$6833/3199372 Same street
66-1266 Ahuli Cir Jun 2025$750,0001,072$7003/1.519702 Same st. — SOLD
66-1295 Ahuli Cir Listed 2024$1,200,0001,728$6943/22010 Active listing
65-1305 Paepuu Pl 2024~$750K est.~1,400~$5353/1.75Vintage Nob Hill nearby
66-1562 Ko Uka Pl Jun 2025$750,0001,072$7003/1.519702 Central Waimea
Luala'i at Parker 2024$850K–$1.1M~1,800~$5303/2–3.52007+80 Desirable subdiv.
★ 66-1311 Ahuli Cir Jul 2020$450,0001,708$2633/11968 SUBJECT
Sources: MLS Hawaii / Homes.com / Redfin / Sotheby's IR — Data as of May 2026. Active listing prices are not final sale prices.
03

Kamuela / Waimea Market Conditions — 2025

📆
80–109
Avg Days on Market
Days to sell
📈
+50%
Sales Activity YoY
March 2025
🏷
$1.6M
Median Sale Price
All Waimea area
💰
~3%
Typical Discount
Below list price
Market Context
Kamuela (Waimea) recorded a +50% year-over-year increase in single-family home sales activity as of March 2025, reflecting strong buyer demand in the upcountry market.
The $1.6M median is skewed by luxury resort-area properties. Entry-level Waimea town properties like Ahuli Circle trade significantly below this, in the $750K–$1.2M range.
Homes in the 96743 zip code are selling at roughly 3% below list price after an average of 80–109 days — a buyer-friendly but not distressed market.
The Ahuli Circle in-town sub-market is highly sought after: the June 2025 sale at 66-1266 Ahuli Cir sold in just 2 days, signaling strong demand for character homes in this walkable pocket.
Price appreciation since the subject's last sale (2020 at $263/sq ft) has been dramatic — comparable in-town sales now clear $683–$700/sq ft, representing a ~160–165% appreciation in value per square foot.
Sources: Coldwell Banker Island Properties Market Report, Homes.com, Redfin — May 2026
04

Price Trend Analysis

Comparable Sale Prices ($K)
Subject
Jul 2020
$450K
66-1266 Ahuli
Jun 2025
$750K
66-1562 Ko Uka
Jun 2025
$750K
66-1312 Ahuli
Jan 2024
$835K
66-1295 Ahuli
Active 2024
$1.2M
Price Per Square Foot ($)
Subject 2020
$263
66-1266 Ahuli
$700
66-1562 Ko Uka
$700
66-1312 Ahuli
$683
66-1295 Ahuli
$694
📈
Key Insight: The subject last sold in 2020 at $263/sq ft. Comparable 2024–2025 Ahuli Circle and Waimea town sales are now trading at $683–$700/sq ft — reflecting ~160% appreciation in value per square foot over five years.
05

Estimated Value & Pricing Strategy

🔵 Conservative
$750,000 – $800,000
~$439–$468 / sq ft
Reflects the 1968 vintage, original 1-bath layout and condition discount vs. updated comparables. Appropriate if property needs significant renovation before listing.
🟢 Market Value
$850,000 – $950,000
~$497–$556 / sq ft
Adjusts comp $/sq ft downward (~25–30%) for the single bath, 1968 construction and unupdated condition vs. remodeled 3-bath comparables. Strong Ahuli Circle location supports this range.
🟡 Optimistic
$950,000 – $1,100,000
~$556–$644 / sq ft
If renovated, updated bathrooms added, or sold in a competitive multiple-offer environment. Highest comparable (66-1295 active listing) asks $1.2M at $694/sq ft.
💡 Recommended List Price Range $850,000 – $950,000
Based on the current in-town Ahuli Circle market and condition-adjusted comparable analysis. A pre-listing bathroom renovation could push pricing into the optimistic range ($950K–$1.1M).
06

Adjustment Analysis

How comparable properties are adjusted to reflect the subject property's features vs. each comparable:

Feature Subject (66-1311) Comp 1: 66-1312 Comp 2: 66-1266 Comp 3: 66-1295
Sale Price$450K (Jul '20)$835,000$750,000$1,200,000
Sq Ft1,7081,222 (smaller −)1,072 (smaller −)1,728 (≈)
Bedrooms33 (≈)3 (≈)3 (≈)
Bathrooms13 (+++) ▼ adj1.5 (+) ▼ adj2 (++) ▼ adj
Year Built19681993 (newer) ▼1970 (≈)2010 (newer++) ▼
Lot Size0.28 ac0.26 ac (≈)~0.28 ac (≈)0.28 ac (≈)
LocationAhuli CircleAhuli Cir (≈)Ahuli Cir (≈)Ahuli Cir (≈)
Condition/RenoOriginalUpdated (++) ▼Original (≈)Updated (++) ▼
Adj. Sale Price Est.~$850K–$880K~$720K–$760K~$870K–$930K
▼ = negative adjustment applied to comparable (comp is superior; subject adjusted down). Adjustments are qualitative estimates.
07

Recommendations & Next Steps

01
Professional Home Inspection
Commission a pre-listing inspection to identify any deferred maintenance items. Given the 1968 build, roof, electrical, and plumbing should be assessed before pricing the property.
02
Bathroom Renovation Assessment
The single bathroom is the most significant value gap vs. comparables. Even a partial renovation (adding a half or full bath) could push estimated value into the $950K–$1.1M optimistic range.
03
Curb Appeal & Staging
The large front and back yards are a genuine strength. Professional landscaping and staging can justify premium pricing vs. un-staged competition and attract motivated Ahuli Circle buyers.
04
Listing Strategy
Price at $895,000–$925,000 to attract motivated buyers while leaving negotiation room (~3% typical discount in 96743). List with MLS Hawaii for maximum exposure across the island market.